FMCG Insights

Practical thinking for consumer goods planners

Articles on demand planning, trade promotion, IBP, and AI from the CauSelf team.

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The Evolution of Demand Planning: Bridging the Great Disconnect
Why sales teams and demand planners have been talking past each other for 30 years โ€” and how the tool design is the root cause, not the people.
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Beware the Dodgy Prediction
Overfitting is the statistical equivalent of an octopus predicting the World Cup. Here's how to spot it in your FMCG forecast models โ€” and what to do about it.
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Data Science: The Slow Uptake
Even Fortune 1000 companies with $50M+ data budgets are struggling to build a data culture. What does that mean for mid-market consumer goods companies standing at the edge of the chasm?
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It Sounds Good, But I Don't Have the Data!
Most businesses have more usable data than they think. Here's how CauSelf analyses up to 20 causal factors โ€” including freely available public data โ€” to improve forecast accuracy.
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Causal Modelling Shouldn't be Hard
Why the most powerful forecasting technique in FMCG is also the most misunderstood โ€” and how to make it practical for your team.
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Data Cleansing and Model Generation
The unglamorous work that separates a forecast model you can trust from one that looks good in a slide deck but fails in practice.
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Where Forecasting Fails
The five most common failure modes in FMCG demand forecasting โ€” and why fixing them doesn't require a new system, just a better approach.
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Speed to Implement is Critical
Why implementation time is the most underrated variable in choosing a planning platform โ€” and how 8โ€“13 weeks changes the ROI calculation entirely.

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